Joe Biden and Executive Decision Making

Joe Biden announced recently that he would not run for the 2016 presidency of the United States. There had been significant speculation from pundits on both sides of the aisle about whether Biden would run and what his candidacy would mean to existing Democratic candidates and Republican challengers. A very interesting factor was the length of time it took Biden to make his decision. Clearly, the death of his son Beau weighed heavily on his decision and prolonged the decision-making process. Even though Biden had a respectable favorability rating in the polls, he elected to decline the run for candidacy. This decision came six months after Hillary Clinton announced her presidential run and led to much discussion in the news about the length of time he took to make that decision.

Although Biden has a history of occasionally making unfiltered and controversial speaking gaffes, he was anything but impulsive and imprudent when making this decision not to run. In typical Monday morning quarterback style, it might be easy to think that Biden’s decision was a foregone conclusion because it seemed too late to organize and raise money. In fact, virtually none of the people close to Biden—including his aides, fellow politicians, friends and, even, the president—suspected that he wouldn’t run. When looking behind the scenes at his process, we see another picture of Biden, which has shown him to be more thoughtful in coming to this conclusion than just making an expedient decision. Let’s take a more careful look at his process to see what we can learn from it.

Clear-Headedness:
First and foremost, his current emotional state factored greatly into his decision. In addition to having previously lost his first wife and a daughter in an automobile accident, the recent death of his son Beau was a terrible blow. Biden recognized that he did not have the emotional energy required to run a presidential campaign. In an interview with Stephen Colbert, Biden said, “nobody has a right … to seek that office unless they’re willing to give it 110% of who they are.” Biden knew that the toll of dealing with his son’s death and the demands of the campaign were totally at odds with each other. He wisely conducted his own personal “emotional scan” to determine the level of objectivity he had to make such a large decision. His years of service in making executive-level decisions informed him of the importance of being emotionally “in a good space” to make such a momentous decision. Unlike his periodic impulsive speaking gaffes, he became wisely thoughtful and reflective—and more cerebral than emotional—in making this important choice.

In contrast, it is not uncommon for executives to make decisions based more on emotion than on an objective look at the facts. Examples of this include making rash decisions about markets or products to pursue (e.g., Hewlett Packard’s acquisition of Compaq to get into the PC market), betting on new products (e.g., Google Glass), hiring decisions (e.g., the Apple Board placing John Scully into the CEO position following Steve Jobs’ initial termination), or even the expense of moving manufacturing locations (United Technology’s move of its major Otis Elevator plant from Mexico to South Carolina). Unlike these examples, Biden was clear-headed about his decision at this very important time in both the life of the country and in his own personal and political life.

Weighing Risk vs. Benefit: Secondly, Biden reviewed the landscape of the current race. He was “late to the party” financially. Although Biden undoubtedly had several backers waiting on the sidelines to contribute, Hillary Clinton had a $75 million head start. In order to compete with both Clinton and Bernie Sanders, Biden would have had to accelerate both his fund raising and the development of his political organizational at a time when, according to insiders, he had not even opened a bank account for political contributions. He may have been tempted by Clinton’s swings in the polls, but the uphill battle he faced starting so far behind the curve helped him to be realistic, and ultimately pragmatic, about the immensity of the decision. At 74, he would have been the oldest president in our history, if elected. Also, the specter of having failed to win the candidacy twice previously was probably a factor in his final decision.

In considering the myriad of obstacles he faced, Biden ultimately considered the counsel of those he respected, such as James Clyburn (D-SC), looked at the brutal facts he was facing (finances, late entry, personal issues) and made a decision based on a rational examination of the data. In doing this, he set aside ego and political aspirations, deciding instead on what he believed to be the greater good—what was best for his party and for the country.

Decisiveness: Finally, once Biden made his decision, he made it decisively. In typical Biden style, he called a press conference, giving only 10 minutes’ notice, and announced that he would not be seeking his party’s candidacy. He did not prolong the drama, nor was he equivocal in his response (e.g., “I may reconsider at a later date” or “If I am drafted by my constituents”). Biden did not use the occasion of his announcement to weigh in to endorse any candidate, nor did he try to further any other personal or political agendas. He clearly and simply stated his decision and how he made it.

This is a refreshing approach to making significant decisions. It is not uncommon when executives do not get their way that they “damn by faint praise,” or are ambiguous about their possibilities in the future. These are both positions that dilute the potency of the executive and run the risk of undermining that which they only reluctantly support, in the hopes that the decision will fail and vindicate their own vacillation.

Executives could take note of Joe Biden’s decision-making approach at this very important juncture in our political history. Although Biden can be criticized for vacillating prior to making his decision, the method by which he ultimately decided stands as a lesson to us all. When faced with a major decision, consider these questions:

  1. How ego-involved am I in the outcome of this decision? Am I in a good “emotional space” to make the decision, or am I too close to the problem to have any objectivity?
  2. What is the data telling me? Am I able to make a “cold-eye review” of the information in front of me and come to a decision that is pragmatic and in the best interest of the greater good? Am I seeking opinions from reliable and trusted advisors, as well as impartial data, in order to come to the best decision, or am I skewing the data to support my own preferences?
  3. Can I make this decision and move on, or will I second-guess myself and create unnecessary drama for others? Can I leave the execution of the final decision alone without intentionally, or inadvertently, interfering?

By considering these lessons, executives can make more effective decisions and increase their credibility, support, and potency in the process.

Project Story: Representative Work of MBEC

In many of our projects, MBEC takes a multifaceted approach to effecting organizational change. One example of this approach is described below. Individual projects are also profiled in the MBEC Case Studies.

Individual Level:
I help executives at an individual level to become more effective, through an assessment process and ongoing consulting on business issues. In this case, the client was a new hospital CEO I have been working with to restructure his organization. Initially, the CEO and I had lengthy discussions about the kind of organization he wanted the hospital to be (patient-centered, performance-oriented). I consulted with him and made ongoing recommendations about his interaction with his board and his staff. I helped him understand the broad responsibilities of a leader in his position and how best to fill and direct his management team. I worked with him for more than three years to help him create a different culture than the one he had inherited.

Executive Team Level:
At this CEO’s hospital, I evaluated his senior team and spent significant time with them on their own development. This development information was shared with the entire team to help the team accept responsibility for all its members. I also recommended changes for the CEO to consider implementing that would strengthen his team. I subsequently worked individually with executive team members, in a similar fashion to the CEO, to help them become more effective leaders.

Functional Team Level:
I also worked with various service areas within the hospital (e.g., OR, ER, clinics, administration, and more) on an ongoing continuous improvement process. This process included the evaluation of work teams, meeting with entire teams to better communicate with one another, and helping teams both establish priorities and identify who would be best suited to undertake the execution of these priorities.

Additional Services:
The CEO found the work to be so valuable that he had me evaluate every internal and external candidate for executive or functional head positions prior to being hired. Although this was only one of many data points in the hiring process, it weighed heavily.

Executive Analysis: When Is It Too Much?

When to Analyze and When to Rely on Instinct

A CFO with whom I worked was often challenging her team of accountants and financial analysts to know when enough analysis is enough. She knew that, by nature, her team was highly analytic and always looking to solve financial problems to the sixth decimal point. However, from her executive perch, she knew that it was more important to know what the financials were telling her than to have that level of perfection. She was always looking at how the business was trending and what important macro issues needed to be addressed. She challenged her team to avoid getting so deep into the trees that they could no longer see the forest! She wanted them to look for patterns.

Research on problem-solving has found that when addressing routine, familiar problems, more analysis does not yield a better answer. In such situations “trusting your instincts” is a more effective approach, and additional analysis can actually interfere with what you already know. Keep in mind that “instinct” is primarily pattern recognition. We all have millions of pieces of data stored in our minds from hundreds of thousands of experiences. When we “sense” something, it is because our minds are recognizing something in our past experience that is similar to, or even exactly like, the situation at hand. In Malcolm Gladwell’s book Blink, he calls such pattern recognition “thin slicing.” Research backs up Gladwell’s contention that in familiar situations we should trust our instincts.

When, then, should we seek more analysis to solve a problem? In fact, there are limits to trusting our instincts. Again, we turn to the research. When problems are unfamiliar, unique, cognitively complex, and, most importantly, critical to the business, we should perform analysis at a level adequate to validate or invalidate our underlying assumptions and be able to anticipate both the barriers to solving the problem and the effects of implementing a solution. In these cases, analysis should be more disciplined and thoughtful. Using our instincts in situations that are unfamiliar can result in solutions ranging from the hilarious to the disastrous. Regardless of the difficulty, uniqueness, or complexity of a problem, it is important to know when our analysis has reached the point of diminishing return—the point at which more analysis will not provide enough additional information to yield a significantly different result.

Before proceeding with a particular approach to problem-solving, consider these questions:

  1. Is the problem one that is familiar, routine, or over-learned? If so, limit your use of analysis and rely more on “instinct” in coming up with a solution.
  2. Is the problem unique, unfamiliar, cognitively complex, or critical to the business? In this case, analyze it using a disciplined approach of discovery, hypothesis testing, and understanding underlying assumptions to solve it.
  3. Do you have enough data? Recognize when you have reached the point of diminishing return, when new data will not yield a better solution. In other words, know when to stop!

By having a more disciplined approach to problem solving, you can become both a more effective and efficient executive. More importantly, you will be using skills commensurate to your position and making the greatest impact on your business.